Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 223.901256 252.067139 283.381899 320.957175 365.053720 415.447498 477.803970
2024-10-27 173.879628 208.680701 250.692714 305.791190 377.117344 467.699959 593.691499
2024-11-03 157.200292 197.068410 248.020058 319.225640 418.332761 554.801507 763.247070
2024-11-10 146.502382 190.290591 248.942057 335.422027 463.590321 653.292664 969.291808
2024-11-17 133.261921 177.890916 239.892984 335.286676 484.055889 717.893681 1137.563023
2024-11-24 120.166155 163.948498 226.588463 326.372852 488.727860 757.300249 1271.766447
2024-12-01 109.528692 152.305126 215.104706 318.284058 492.714285 795.157080 1411.256892
2024-12-08 104.562505 148.415380 214.624400 327.170325 525.754645 889.038161 1684.303869
2024-12-15 98.555657 142.319933 209.976901 328.379628 545.208093 961.143813 1933.278982
2024-12-22 91.783362 134.425893 201.646997 322.174092 549.927622 1004.988864 2131.618249
2024-12-29 87.068697 129.378871 197.428242 322.554204 566.933692 1076.955686 2421.829607
2025-01-05 81.270297 122.134350 188.900539 314.139792 565.289160 1108.323282 2617.268923
2025-01-12 77.112236 117.417837 184.493663 313.305240 579.878516 1181.464468 2965.048856
2025-01-19 71.061446 109.159642 173.349934 298.596986 563.433701 1179.101114 3090.211613
2025-01-26 69.861234 108.989605 176.371419 311.630612 608.966773 1338.832606 3808.846512
2025-02-02 69.072016 109.440925 180.504844 327.338538 663.343817 1536.894237 4786.042615
2025-02-09 66.182303 105.993153 177.155124 327.207291 680.531871 1638.178333 5461.161514
2025-02-16 62.447029 100.802001 170.139043 318.563065 675.617980 1674.488058 5887.716439
2025-02-23 59.106265 96.128701 163.782372 310.717273 671.604573 1713.029240 6354.905664
2025-03-02 57.947282 95.353088 164.869473 319.336494 711.465113 1901.251038 7713.660098
2025-03-09 56.021689 93.038049 162.753913 320.509310 731.794512 2032.116355 8897.756550
2025-03-16 53.462485 89.393296 157.735221 314.490640 731.423263 2091.532960 9722.494828
2025-03-23 51.734291 87.221758 155.537376 314.859332 749.237864 2223.028065 11164.617510